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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Halifax,
Nova Scotia.

1. Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the east-central
Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level
winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next day or two while the system moves across the central and
western Caribbean Sea.  However, environmental conditions could
become conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday, and into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
tomorrow.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to
be slow to occur during the next several days while it moves
westward near 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Pasch




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