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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Oct 5 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lidia, located several hundred miles southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP99):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located  
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a trough of low 
pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for 
gradual development during the next several days, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while 
the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Western East Pacific:
An elongated area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to 
produce disorganized thunderstorms. Any development of this system 
would be slow to occur while it moves little during the next couple 
of days. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to 
become less conducive for further development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Bucci