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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 13 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Fernanda, located several hundred miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

1. Western East Pacific (EP99): 
Showers and thunderstorms are becoming better organized in 
association with an area of low pressure located about 1400 miles 
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for continued development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form during the next day or so as it moves 
westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is 
forecast to cross into the Central Pacific basin late tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern portion of the east 
Pacific. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development 
during the next several days, and a tropical depression is expected 
to form by midweek while the system moves west-northwestward, 
roughly parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart