ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 25 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Off the Southwestern Coast of Mexico: 
An elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce a 
large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This 
disturbance has not become any better organized over the past day or 
so, but environmental conditions still appear generally favorable 
for gradual development of this broad system. A tropical depression 
is likely to form during the middle part of this week as the system 
moves generally west-northwestward, parallel to the southwestern 
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form early next week several 
hundred miles south of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Mexico. 
Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and 
a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part 
of this week while it moves slowly west-northwestward, remaining 
offshore of the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Papin/Pasch