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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently 
investigating a broad area of low pressure located a couple of 
hundred miles east of the central Bahamas.  Early indications 
from the plane and satellite data are that the system does not have 
a well-defined surface circulation.  Environmental conditions are 
becoming less conducive for development, though a short-lived 
tropical depression or storm could still form during the next day or 
so while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward.  By 
Tuesday, however, strong upper-level winds and dry air should end 
the chances of further development while it turns northward.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the 
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Gradual development 
thereafter is possible while the system moves generally westward at 
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Bucci