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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 18 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located about 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands 
continue to show signs of organization.  Environmental conditions 
are expected to remain conducive for gradual development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so 
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the 
central and western tropical Atlantic.  Interests in the Lesser 
Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.  Additional 
information, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.  Regardless of 
development, this system has the potential to bring gusty winds, 
heavy rainfall, and flooding to portions of the Lesser Antilles 
beginning Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Bucci