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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Nigel, located over the north-central Atlantic.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential 
Tropical Cyclone Sixteen, located over the southwestern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands are 
showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast 
to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next 
week while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph 
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued 
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued 
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

Forecaster Bucci