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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Franklin, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda, 
and on recently upgraded Hurricane Idalia, located over the 
southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL92):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in 
association with an area of low pressure located several hundred 
miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for some additional development of this system, and a 
short-lived tropical depression could form during the next day or 
two while the system drifts generally northward over the central 
subtropical Atlantic. By Thursday, upper-level winds are forecast to 
become unfavorable for further development of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is 
producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual 
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form 
later in the week while the system moves west-northwestward to 
northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart