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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 25 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Windward Islands (AL95):
A tropical wave located just east of the Windward Islands is  
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms 
while moving quickly westward.  Development, if any, of this system 
should be slow to occur during the next day or two before it moves 
into a region of unfavorable upper-level winds.  Even though 
development is unlikely, locally heavy rains and strong gusty winds 
are expected across portions of the Lesser Antilles during the next 
day or so.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Southwestern Atlantic:
A weak trough of low pressure is located a few hundred miles 
south-southwest of Bermuda.  Some gradual development of this system 
is possible while it moves west-northwestward towards the 
southeastern U.S. coast later this week and into the weekend. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi