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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed May 31 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Northeastern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure has formed over the northeastern Gulf of 
Mexico in association with disorganized showers and thunderstorms 
displaced to its northeast. Environmental conditions appear 
marginally favorable for some slow development over the next day or 
two as the system meanders over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. 
However, by this weekend environmental conditions are forecast to 
become unfavorable for additional development as the system drifts 
southeastward towards the Florida Peninsula. Regardless of 
development, the system could produce heavy rainfall and gusty winds 
over portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. 
Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be 
found in products issued by your local National Weather Service 
forecast office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the 
Weather Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Papin