000 ABPZ20 KNHC 192334 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Oct 19 2022 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become better organized in association with a low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. In addition, the low's circulation continues to become better defined. If these trends continue, a tropical depression is likely to form later tonight or early Thursday as the system moves generally west-northwestward, parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern and west-central coasts of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart