000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181138
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Oct 18 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the 
southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a broad and 
disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form in the next two to three days 
while the system moves generally west-northwestward, parallel to 
the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven