000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Oct 11 2022 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Near the coast of Southern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms within a couple of hundred miles of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a surface trough and Julia's remnants. Development of this system is likely to be slow to occur due to dry air aloft and marginal upper-level winds. This system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward, near the coast of southern then southwestern Mexico, through the end of the week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could cause flash flooding across portions of southern Mexico during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto