118 
ABPZ20 KNHC 110503
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 10 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Near the coast of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms extending from near the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec southwestward for a couple of hundred miles are 
associated with a portion of Julia's remnants. A new broad area of 
low pressure is forecast to form from this area of disturbed weather 
within the next day or so. Some subsequent gradual development of 
the new system will be possible if it remains offshore the southern 
coast of Mexico while it moves generally westward to 
west-northwestward through the end of the week. Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall will likely cause flash flooding and 
mudslides across portions of southern Mexico during the next day or 
so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown