000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281744
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 28 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of the Southern Coast of Mexico: 
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
south of the southern coast of Mexico continue to show signs of 
organization.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the 
next couple of days while the system moves westward to 
west-northwestward off the coast of southern and southwestern 
Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Western East Pacific:
The remnants of Newton are located about 1,100 miles southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The associated 
shower activity has become a little better organized, and additional 
slight development of the system is possible during the next day or 
two.  This system could could briefly become a tropical depression 
again while it moves generally westward over the western portion of 
the eastern North Pacific. Environmental conditions are expected to 
become less conducive for additional development by the end of the 
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven