000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171744
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 17 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Lester, located along the coast of southwestern Mexico.

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a well-defined low 
pressure system have shown signs of becoming better organized over 
the past few hours. If current trends continue, advisories will be 
initiated on a new tropical depression or tropical storm this 
afternoon. The low is forecast to meander off the southwestern coast 
of Mexico today and then head northward or north-northwestward on 
Sunday. A slow turn toward the northwest or west-northwest is then 
expected through the middle of next week. For more information on 
this system, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts 
issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

South of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form over the far eastern portion of 
the eastern North Pacific basin early next week. Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development 
while the system moves west-northwestward near or offshore the coast 
of southern Mexico through mid-week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the 
southern coast of Mexico by the middle of next week. Some gradual 
development is possible thereafter while the disturbance moves 
generally west-northwestward off the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky