000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141140
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Sep 14 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized 
near a small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles 
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  The chances for this low to 
merge with another area of disturbed weather to its east-southeast 
appear to be decreasing, and it could become a tropical depression 
during the couple of days while meandering southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Near the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of 
hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico is associated with a 
trough of low pressure.  Environmental conditions would be 
conducive for development if the system remains offshore, and a 
tropical depression could form while moving little off the southern 
coast of Mexico during the next couple of days, and then moving 
west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern 
Mexico over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. 

$$
Forecaster Berg