000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311745
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 31 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles 
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Satellite-derived wind data 
indicate that this system is developing a low-level circulation, and 
a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so.  
The system is forecast to move west-northwestward or northwestward 
during the next few days, likely remaining a few hundred miles off 
the coast of southwestern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the southern 
coast of Mexico by late this week.  Gradual development of this 
system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form 
by early next week while the disturbance moves westward or 
west-northwestward near the coast of southern Mexico.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch