000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212342
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Aug 21 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central East Pacific:
Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in 
association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for 
additional development and a tropical depression could from over the 
next couple of days as the system moves west-northwestward or 
northwestward, well offshore of the coast of Mexico. By midweek, 
less favorable environmental conditions should limit further 
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Western East Pacific:
Showers and thunderstorms have mostly dissipated in association with 
the remnants of Ivette located more than 1000 miles west-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental 
conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for further 
development as this system moves over cooler waters and into a more 
stable atmospheric environment.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin