236 
ABPZ20 KNHC 131134
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Aug 13 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Overnight satellite-derived winds showed a small surface circulation 
has formed in association with the low pressure area located a few 
hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. The associated 
shower and thunderstorm activity has also increased within the past 
few hours.  If this activity were to continue, a short-lived 
tropical depression could form later today or this evening while the 
system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  
By Sunday, upper-level winds are forecast to strengthen over the 
system, and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Brown