000
ABPZ20 KNHC 122328
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Aug 12 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, 
have changed little in organization since yesterday and are confined 
to the western portion of its circulation. A small increase in the 
organization of the associated shower and thunderstorm activity 
would result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression, 
likely tonight or on Saturday, while the system moves 
west-northwestward to northwestward at about 10 mph. By Sunday, 
upper-level winds are forecast to strengthen over the system, and 
further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart