000
ABPZ20 KNHC 121722
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 12 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, 
have changed little in organization during the past several hours. 
This system is still likely to become a short-lived tropical 
cyclone during the next day or so before upper-level winds 
become unfavorable for development on Sunday. The low is forecast 
to move west-northwestward at about 10 mph well offshore the coast 
of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi