000
ABPZ20 KNHC 121125
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 12 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms have decreased in association with an area 
of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, 
Mexico.  Although the system has lost organization, it still will 
likely become a short-lived tropical cyclone during the next day or 
two before upper-level winds become unfavorable for development on 
Sunday.  The low is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 10 
mph well offshore the coast of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi