000
ABPZ20 KNHC 112314
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 11 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Recent satellite images indicate that the circulation associated 
with a low pressure system located about 400 miles south-southwest 
of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better defined today. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional 
development, and only a small increase in the organization of the 
associated shower and thunderstorm activity would lead to the 
formation of a tropical depression, likely tonight or on Saturday. 
The low is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 10 mph well 
offshore the coast of Mexico, and further development appears 
unlikely by Sunday when the system is expected to encounter less 
favorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg