051 
ABPZ20 KNHC 131753
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 13 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Darby, located about 1800 miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles south of 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated 
with the disturbance is beginning to show signs of organization. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional 
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form well 
offshore of the coast of southern Mexico by Friday or Saturday. The 
disturbance is forecast to drift westward for the next day or two, 
then move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph through the weekend 
while remaining offshore of the southern and southwestern coasts of 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky/R. Zelinsky