000
ABPZ20 KNHC 080544
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 7 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Bonnie, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip 
of the Baja California peninsula. 

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the southern 
coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form well southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico 
over the weekend or early next week while the disturbance moves 
westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

South of Central America:
A low pressure area is expected to form late in the weekend or 
early next week south of the coast of Central America.  Subsequent 
slow development of this system is possible as it moves generally 
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven