000
ABPZ20 KNHC 290006 CCA
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jun 28 2022

Corrected medium to high chance

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on 
the remnants of Celia, located several hundred miles 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Atlantic 
basin Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, currently located near the 
southern Windward Islands.  The system is forecast to cross Central 
America and move into the east Pacific basin, as a tropical cyclone, 
over the weekend.

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure 
system centered a few hundred miles south of the coast of 
southwestern Mexico show signs of increased organization. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional 
gradual development during the next couple of days, and a tropical 
depression is likely form while the system moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph through the end of the week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Beven