000 ABPZ20 KNHC 272322 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri May 27 2022 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of Southern Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 200 miles south-southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico, have increased in organization today. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form later tonight or on Saturday while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph. This system is expected to turn northward and strengthen while it moves toward southern Mexico this weekend. Tropical-storm-force or hurricane-force winds are becoming increasingly likely along the coast of southern Mexico early next week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Additionally, locally heavy rainfall is possible along coastal sections of Guatemala and southern Mexico during the next few days, which could cause flash flooding and mudslides. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart