000
ABPZ20 KNHC 260500
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed May 25 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
A surface trough located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce a large area of cloudiness 
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form late this week or this weekend while the system moves 
west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  Interests in 
southern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Central portion of the eastern Pacific: 
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles off the coast 
of southwestern Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less 
conducive for development on Thursday, and the chance of this 
system becoming a tropical cyclone is decreasing. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown