000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241729
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue May 24 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central portion of the eastern Pacific: 
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles off the 
coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could support 
some slow development during the next couple of days while this 
system moves little.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become too 
strong for development late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered a 
few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated 
with a surface trough.  Environmental conditions are forecast to 
be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form late this week or this weekend while the system 
moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake