000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202332
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 20 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of disturbed weather continues to produce disorganized 
showers and a few thunderstorms within a couple of hundred miles off 
the southern coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are expected 
to be conducive for gradual development of this system during the 
next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this 
weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to 
northwestward near or just offshore the southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin