647 
ABPZ20 KNHC 292348
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Sep 29 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions 
are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next 
several days, and a tropical depression could form by the weekend 
while the system moves generally westward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of 
Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and a few 
thunderstorms, and environmental conditions are only marginally 
conducive for development. The low is forecast to meander off 
the coast of southwestern Mexico today and tonight, and then move 
slowly toward the west-northwest at about 5 mph away from the coast 
of Mexico on Thursday and Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin