000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211735
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 21 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to 
produce disorganized shower activity.  Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be somewhat conducive for development, and a short-lived 
tropical cyclone could form in 2 or 3 days while the low moves 
generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  This system is forecast 
to move over cooler waters and into a more stable environment by 
the weekend, which should inhibit further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake