000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071147
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Sep 7 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, 
Mexico, continue to show some signs of organization.  Environmental 
conditions are conducive for additional development, and this system 
is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or so 
while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just 
offshore of the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, outer 
rainbands from the disturbance are likely to produce locally heavy 
rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of 
Colima and Jalisco through Tuesday. Additional information on this 
system can be found in the High Seas Forecast issued by the 
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Shower activity is limited in association with a small low pressure 
area located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the 
Baja California.  Development, if any, of this system is likely to 
be slow over the next day or so while it drifts northward. After 
that time, environmental conditions are expected to become 
unfavorable for further development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on 
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Latto