000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061731
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 6 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized 
this morning in association with an elongated area of low pressure 
located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward or 
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the coast of 
Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Development of this 
system, if any, is likely to be slow over the next couple of days 
while it drifts northward.  By late this week, environmental 
conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further 
development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto