000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201151
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 20 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Hurricane Grace, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, is 
forecast to move inland over mainland Mexico by early Saturday 
morning and dissipate over Mexico by early Sunday.  However, Grace's 
remnants are expected to continue moving westward and emerge over 
the eastern Pacific Ocean off the west-central coast of Mexico early 
Sunday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this 
weekend or early next week while the system moves westward at 10 to 
15 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of 
southern Mexico early next week.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter 
while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or 
just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi