000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071140
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Aug 7 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The latest satellite derived wind data indicated that the low 
pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Manzanillo, 
Mexico, has become better defined overnight.  Showers and 
thunderstorms associated with the system continue to show signs of 
organization.  Environmental conditions are conducive for 
additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to 
form today or Sunday while it moves westward or west-northwestward 
at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles 
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by early next week.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development 
thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of 
next week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 
mph, parallel to and offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts