000
ABPZ20 KNHC 040551
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and has issued the 
last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Ignacio, located about 
400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula. 

Shower activity has increased near a low pressure system, 
associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E, more 
than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California peninsula.  Environmental conditions are expected to be 
somewhat conducive for development over the next day or so, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Wednesday while 
the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  By late Thursday, 
further development is not expected as the system is forecast to 
move over cooler waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles 
south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development 
this weekend while the system remains offshore and moves 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of 
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven