000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291149
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing 
persistent shower and thunderstorm activity, mainly to the 
southeast of the center.  Upper-level winds are expected to become 
more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and 
a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the 
system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles offshore 
of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing shower and 
thunderstorm activity with increased signs of organization since 
yesterday.  Environmental conditions remain conducive for continued 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this 
weekend while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi