000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282332
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jul 28 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located 
about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula continues to produce some showers and thunderstorms, 
mainly to the east and southeast of its center.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to gradually become more favorable for 
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by this weekend while the system moves 
generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Satellite imagery indicates that a broad area of low pressure has 
formed several hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of 
Mexico.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
continued gradual development, and a tropical depression could form 
this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward or 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven