135 
ABPZ20 KNHC 280516
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 27 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low-pressure system located about 900 miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms near and to the southeast of 
its center. This activity has changed little in organization 
tonight, but environmental conditions remain marginally conducive 
for additional development. A tropical depression could form later 
this week as the system moves generally westward at around 5 to 10 
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to develop later this week 
several hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some 
gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form 
this weekend while the system moves westward or west-northwestward 
at around 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Brown