000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271737
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 27 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low-pressure system located over 800 miles south-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms near and to the southeast of 
its center.  Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive 
for some gradual development of this system over the next several 
days as it moves westward at around 10 mph.     
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to develop later this week 
several hundred miles offshore of the southern coast of Mexico.  
Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some 
gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form 
this weekend while the system moves westward or west-northwestward 
at around 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch