000
ABPZ20 KNHC 252322
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east-southeast of 
the Hawaiian Islands continues to move westward at about 15 mph.  
Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system have persisted 
for much of the day, but they remain displaced to the northwest and 
north of the circulation center.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to remain conducive for some additional development during 
the next day or so, and only a slight increase in the organization 
of the system would result in the development of a tropical 
depression.  The low is forecast to move into the Central Pacific 
basin on Monday morning, and on Tuesday conditions are expected to 
become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few 
hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  
Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this 
week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 
mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of 
southern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown