000
ABPZ20 KNHC 062315
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 6 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of 
low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, 
Mexico.  However, the circulation of the system remains broad and 
elongated and it still lacks a well-defined center.  Development of 
this system into a short-lived tropical depression is still likely 
before environmental conditions become less favorable by late 
Monday.  The low pressure area is expected to move slowly westward 
well south of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of 
hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, 
and Guatemala in a day or two.  Environmental conditions appear 
favorable for some development, and a tropical depression could 
develop by the end of the week as the system moves slowly 
northwestward or northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi