000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150535
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure located about 150 miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little 
better defined since yesterday.  However, the associated shower 
activity remains limited.  While some additional development of this 
system is possible, the low is forecast to move over cooler waters 
on Saturday and the chance of this system becoming a tropical 
depression appears to be decreasing. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Another area of disturbed weather associated with a broad area of 
low pressure is located about 700 miles southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for the development of this system, and it 
is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly 
north-northwestward or northward during the next few days. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of 
Central America.  Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low 
pressure system to develop from this trough over the next day or 
so, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form this 
weekend or early next week while the system moves generally 
west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch