000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061124
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, 
Mexico, have increased in coverage overnight. Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for development over the 
next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
within the next two or three days while the system moves 
west-northwestward, well south of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive and 
development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during 
the next day or two while it moves slowly westward.  After that 
time, further development of this system is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 1000 miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are 
associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Some gradual 
development of this system is possible over the next several days 
while it moves little. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown