000
ABPZ20 KNHC 120551
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the circulation
associated with an area of low pressure located about 550 miles
south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains
broad and somewhat elongated.  However, the associated shower and
thunderstorm activity is gradually becoming better organized, and
the system is expected to become a tropical depression on Thursday
while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.  For additional
information on this system, please refer to High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some slow development of
this disturbance is possible during the next few days while the
system moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of
Central America over the weekend.  Development of this system is
possible early next week while it moves westward well south of the
southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Berg