000
ABPZ20 KNHC 121151
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles west-southwest
of Manzanillo, Mexico.

A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of
the southern coast of Mexico is producing widespread disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast to
be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly north
or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula during the
next day or two.  After that time, environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by the end of the week, while it moves
slowly northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

$$
Forecaster Landsea