000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291145
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 29 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles
south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing widespread showers and
thunderstorms.  This system is expected to become a tropical
cyclone on Wednesday or Thursday while it moves generally northward
or northwestward near the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja
California Sur.  Residents along the coasts of Colima, Jalisco,
Nayarit and Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this
system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for
a portion of those areas later today. Regardless of development,
very heavy rain is expected over the next few days which could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake