000
ABPZ20 KNHC 290553
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 28 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles
south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing widespread but
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for development, and this system is
expected to become a tropical cyclone within the next couple of days
while it moves generally northward or northwestward near the coast
of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur.  Residents in those
areas should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical
storm watches could be required for a portion of the area later
today.  Regardless of development, very heavy rain is expected in
southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur over the next few days
which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Landsea